Flagship Report 4th Edition

Festive Barometer, 2026

Cost-efficient, authentic market performance data for assessment, planning, and benchmarking. Market sizing and forecasts for 9 categories, with market share of top online retailers.

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The Opportunity

A decade of festive eCommerce

From Flipkart's first Big Billion Day in 2014 to a ₹1.2 lakh crore season in 2025. The festive month now accounts for nearly 20% of annual online retail sales.

₹1.2L Cr
2025 festive GMV
99x
Growth since 2014
9
Categories tracked
12%
Quick commerce share
Festive Season GMV
Big Billion Days + Great Indian Festival (₹ crore)
Source: Datum Intelligence
Yearly
growth
Source: Datum Intelligence Festive Barometer Study
Key Findings

What we found

Highlights from the 2025 festive season across platforms, categories, and consumer segments. Based on Datum Festive Barometer Study (n=2,000 online adults, 20 cities).

Market Size

₹1.2 lakh crore in festive GMV

Festive season sales crossed ₹1.2 lakh crore ($13.9B), up 27% YoY. The first week alone generated ₹60,700 crore, about 51% of the season's total, with Day 1 and Day 2 accounting for 33% of first-week GMV.

Quick Commerce

12% share, up from 8% in 2024

Quick commerce net order value more than doubled YoY, from $0.79B in 2024 to $1.6B in 2025. Blinkit entered the top 5 platforms ahead of Nykaa, signaling rapid mainstream adoption beyond groceries.

Categories

Mobile and lifestyle at 51% of GMV

Mobile (30.6%) and lifestyle (19.8%) dominated spending but saw slight share dips as grocery (+44% YoY), appliances (+41%), and consumer electronics (+34%) gained ground, reflecting a diversifying festive basket.

Consumer Sentiment

70% buyers spending more than 2024

29% of shoppers projected an 11-25% increase in festive spend, while 15% planned a spike of over 25%. Urban sentiment turned net positive for the first time since 2022. Rural confidence hit record highs.

Platforms

Amazon leads, Flipkart close behind

83% of surveyed shoppers planned to buy from Amazon, 79% from Flipkart. Myntra (53%) and Meesho (52%) held strong in fashion and value segments. Blinkit (37%) entered the top five for the first time.

Growth Drivers

GST cuts and early access fuel Day 1 surge

September GST rate cuts made appliances 6-8% cheaper at checkout. Early-access windows for Prime and Flipkart Plus members concentrated high-value purchases on Day 1, driving front-loaded demand.

Report Scope

9 categories, one report

Each category includes market sizing, growth trends, platform share, and competitive analysis.

Mobile

Smartphones, feature phones, accessories

Consumer Electronics

Laptops, audio, wearables, TVs

Personal Care & Cosmetics

Skincare, haircare, fragrances, makeup

Lifestyle

Fashion, footwear, ethnic wear, accessories

Homeware & Furniture

Furniture, decor, kitchen, bedding

Appliances

Large and small home appliances

Grocery

Staples, packaged food, beverages, household

Books & General Merchandise

Books, stationery, toys, games

Baby Products

Baby care, kids' fashion, nursery

What's Inside

What you'll get

The report is structured to give you both the big picture and the details that matter.

Market Sizing & Forecast

Festive season GMV estimates for 9 categories and overall market, with year-over-year comparisons and growth projections.

Retailer Market Share

Market share of top online retailers across 9 categories and overall market. How platforms performed during sale events.

Consumer Spending Data

Consumer spending across key marketplaces and D2C websites. Patterns by segment, channel, and category.

Quick Commerce

Quick commerce share of festive spending, platform breakdown, and category penetration data.

Category Deep-Dives

Individual analysis for each of the 9 categories with sub-segment breakdowns and brand-level insights.

Benchmarking Data

Performance benchmarks for planning, assessment, and competitive positioning during the festive season.

Cited by

Financial Times Moneycontrol The Economic Times Business Standard Mint
How We Do It

Methodology

A four-step approach combining secondary research, primary data collection, statistical modelling, and expert validation.

1

Secondary Research

Existing Datum market data, public filings, industry reports, trade associations and government institutions.

2

Custom Survey & Scraping

Consumer survey of 5,000 online adults across 50 cities, ecosystem interviews, and quick commerce data scraping.

3

Modelling & Forecasting

Bottom-up and top-down models using exponential trend smoothing, S-Curve, and ARIMA methods.

4

Model Validation

Validation with market experts, ecosystem players, and comparable key market indicators.

Online survey of 5,000 online adults across 50 cities in India during the festive month. Festive season defined as starting from the first day of Big Billion Days / Great Indian Festival through Diwali.

Source: Datum Festive Barometer Study

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Past Editions

Festive Barometer archive

Each edition covers market sizing, category deep-dives, platform share, and consumer insights for the festive season.

3rd Edition

Festive Barometer, 2025

₹1,20,000 Cr

27% YoY growth. 70% buyers increased spend. Quick commerce at 12%. Mobile + lifestyle at 51% of GMV.

Read more →
2nd Edition

Festive Barometer, 2024

₹1,00,000 Cr

23% YoY growth. Quick commerce at $1B (8% share). Mobile + fashion at ~50%. Flipkart leads, QC platforms emerge.

Read more →
1st Edition

Festive Barometer, 2023

₹69,800 Cr

The season that established festive tracking. From ₹1,218 Cr in 2014 to a $9B+ market by 2022.

Read more →

Participate in the next edition

Get early access to our festive season analysis. Market sizing, category deep-dives, platform share, and forecasts across 9 categories.

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